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Helping Business Weather the Storm

National Weather Summary for Thursday, November 15, 2018

by David Moran, on Nov 15, 2018 10:43:15 AM

Snow will continue from the Mid Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Thursday as an upper level low moves eastward. Freezing rain and snow will continue for the Appalachians.  Heavy snow is forecast across the Northeast through Friday as an area of low pressure moves along the coast. Thunderstorms are expected to continue along the Carolina coast as instability builds through the early afternoon. Elevated winds and seas will continue for the Gulf of Mexico through mid afternoon.

  • Snow from the Mid Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley on Thursday
  • Freezing Rain and Snow Continuing Thursday for the Appalachians
  • Snow across the Northeast through Friday
  • Thunderstorms Thursday for the Carolina Coast
  • Elevated Winds and Seas for the Gulf of Mexico through Thursday Afternoon
  • Potential for Snow Friday across North Dakota
  • Snow from Montana into the Central Rockies Friday and Saturday

US Hazards Thursday, November 15, 2018
US Hazards

Snow from the Mid Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley on Thursday
Light to moderate snow is ongoing across portions of Missouri and Illinois this morning, primarily on the backside of a large upper low situated over the Mid-Mississippi Valley. This should result in snow from eastern Missouri into Ohio and portions of Michigan as the low continues to move eastward and northeastward. Snow accumulations will range 1-3 inches with locally higher amounts in excess of 4 inches. 

Major Cities in Region: Paducah, KY, Evansville, IN, Louisville, KY, Toledo, OH, Detroit, MI

Snow Accumulation for Thursday, November 15, 2018
Snow Accumulation for Thursday

Freezing Rain and Snow Continuing Thursday for the Appalachians
Freezing rain is currently underway across the Appalachians. Widespread precipitation stretches from the Tennessee/North Carolina border to West Virginia and Virginia. Temperature profiles will support a mix of freezing rain and snow into Thursday night, as well as snow. Ice accumulations will range 0.10-0.50 inch, limiting sleet and snow accumulations. Areas along the border of Virginia and West Virginia could pick up 2-5 inches of snow with locally higher amounts. Further south, sleet will be more prevalent with widespread accumulations of 1-2 inches. Across the higher elevations, snow accumulations will range 4-6 inches with locally higher amounts in excess of 8 inches.

Major Cities in Region: Asheville, NC, Blacksburg, VA

Snow and Ice Accumulation for Thursday, November 15, 2018
Snow and Ice Accumulation for Thursday

Snow across the Northeast through Friday
Heavy snow is expected across the region through Friday. After the initial rainfall moves into the region, temperatures aloft and at the surface are expected to rapidly fall below freezing, with snow increasing throughout the day. Snow accumulations will range 4-6 inches with accumulations close to a foot across Upper New England. One exception will be along the coast, where snowfall totals will range 2-4 inches. Snow will taper off from south to north, ending completely by late Friday night.

Major Cities in Region: Albany, NY, Burlington, VT, Manchester, NH, Presque Isle, ME, Augusta, ME

Snow Accumulation for November 15-16, 2018
Snow Accumulation through Friday

Thunderstorms Thursday for the Carolina Coast
A large upper level low is situated over the Midwest this morning. To the east and southeast of this low, numerous showers and thunderstorms are ongoing from Florida into the Northeast. Strong to severe thunderstorms may develop along the Carolina coast where plentiful moisture and instability are present. A broken line of thunderstorms is forecast to develop along the coastal regions and quickly move eastward through the late morning. This will pose a threat for damaging winds and perhaps a couple of tornadoes as storms move offshore by the afternoon.

Major Cities in Region: Charleston, SC, Myrtle Beach, SC, Wilmington, NC

Thunderstorm Risk for Thursday, November 15, 2018
Thunderstorm Risk for Thursday

Elevated Winds and Seas for the Gulf of Mexico through Thursday Afternoon
Elevated winds and seas will continue for portions of the central Gulf of Mexico through early Thursday afternoon. Winds will be north-northwesterly at 15-23 knots with gusts in excess of 30 knots. Seas will range 6-8 feet.

Winds and Wave Heights 6pm CST Thursday, November 15, 2018
Winds and Wave Heights 6pm CST Thursday

Potential for Snow Friday across North Dakota
An Alberta Clipper is forecast to move southeastward into North Dakota. While compact, this low will bring areas of moderate to heavy snow late Thursday through Friday night. Snow accumulations of 2-4 inches with locally higher amounts in excess of 5 inches are expected. In addition, there will be a potential for freezing rain; ice accumulations should be less than 0.25 inch.

Major Cities in Region: Minot, ND, Bismarck, ND

Snow Accumulation for Friday, November 16, 2018
Snow Accumulation for Friday

Snow from Montana into the Central Rockies Friday and Saturday
A weak area of low pressure will move southward into Wyoming. Snow could be heavy at times with 4-8 inches of snow expected. Lower elevations may see 1-3 inches.

Major Cities in Region: Cody, WY, Riverton, WY, Casper, WY, Laramie, WY, Cheyenne, WY

Snow Accumulation for November 16-17, 2018
Snow Accumulation for Friday and Saturday

A Look Ahead
Light snow may develop from Illinois northeastward into New York on Sunday behind a cold front. On Monday, light snow will extend from the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes. This activity will move into the Northeast and Ohio Valley on Tuesday. Light snow may develop Wednesday over the Northern Great Lakes.

Topics:Nowcast/Forecast

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